Lower bills

Is solar worth it for you? Run the numbers.

Put in your own figures. See payback and yearly return, then compare with leaving the money in savings or borrowing to buy.

These are estimates, not financial advice.

We are not qualified or regulated financial advisers. The calculator works from the figures you enter and from assumptions that may not hold: energy prices, export rates, interest rates and system output all change. Speak to a regulated financial adviser before borrowing or moving savings.

Renting, or no roof to use? Plug-in solar kits plug into a socket and have their own calculator.

What would you like to work out?

Your electricity
kWh

On your annual statement. Ofgem's typical household uses 2,500.

Optional. Used only to look up tariff prices for your area from Octopus Energy’s public price list.

Your tariff
p/kWh

Price cap average is 26.32p.

p a day

On your bill. Used when comparing tariffs.

p/kWh

Standard fixed tariffs pay about 12p to 15p.

% a year

An assumption. Try 0% for a cautious view.

The system
kWp

4 kWp is about 9 or 10 modern panels.

kWh

About 800 in northern Scotland, 1,000 on the south coast.

%

Often 30 to 50% without a battery, 60 to 80% with one.

£

Use your own quote if you have one.

£

For example a replacement inverter, charged halfway through.

years
What else the money could do
–

Before inflation. Top easy-access accounts pay about 4.5 to 5%.

–

An assumption, before inflation. Investments can fall as well as rise.

% a year

Used to show every result in today’s money. 3% is a long-run average.

% APR

Credit card, overdraft or car finance. Leave empty if none.

Paying with a loan

–saved in year one
–to pay for itself
–estimated yearly return after inflation
–net gain over 20 years, in today’s money

Yearly rate after inflation, side by side

Each rate has 3% a year general inflation taken off. Solar's figure is the yearly rate that would turn the cost into the same stream of bill savings. A loan or debt rate is what you pay, not what you earn.

What you would have after 20 years, in today’s money

The system itself is counted as worth nothing at the end, which is cautious.

What this suggests

    Running position, year by year

    Pounds ahead or behind compared with doing nothing, in today’s money. The savings line is interest earned on the same sum, after inflation.

    How the sums work

    Solar saves money in two ways. Each unit you use from your own panels is a unit you do not buy, so it saves the full price you pay: 26.32p under the current price cap. Each unit you cannot use is exported and earns your export rate, typically about 12p.

    The calculator multiplies your array size by a yearly yield to get generation, splits it into self-use and export, and prices each part. It then repeats this for every year, with panel output falling 0.5% a year and import prices rising at the rate you set. Export rates are held flat.

    A pound in 20 years buys less than a pound today, so every later figure is turned into today’s money using the general inflation rate you set (3% to start). That applies equally to solar, savings, investments and loan repayments, so the comparison stays fair. Year one is at today’s prices.

    Battery only

    Choose Battery only at the top of the calculator. It works out how much of your full-price use a battery can move to your cheap rate each day, up to its usable size. Each unit moved saves the normal price less the cheap price, with 10% allowed for losses. Battery capacity is assumed to fall 1.5% a year.

    Peak and off-peak tariffs

    If your price changes through the day, tick the time-of-use box and enter each band’s price and times. Solar you use as it is made replaces whatever you pay at that hour, which is usually the day or peak rate. Solar stored in a battery is used in your dearest hours. With grid charging on, the battery also fills up at your cheapest rate and is used when power costs more. The calculator allows for 10% lost in the battery.

    It works from a typical day for each month and a typical household pattern of use. It does not know your actual half-hourly readings, so treat the result as a guide.

    What moves the answer most

    • How much you use yourself. A home that is empty all day might use a third of its solar. A battery, a hot water diverter or daytime use of appliances raises that.
    • What you paid. Quotes for the same system vary by thousands. Get three.
    • Your tariff. Some export tariffs pay well above the standard rate if you also buy your electricity from that supplier.
    • The battery. A battery raises the saving but often lengthens the payback, because it adds a lot to the cost. Tick the battery box to see both.

    What solar does not reduce

    The daily standing charge, 54.83p a day at present. You pay it however little you import.

    Cash, savings or a loan?

    The useful comparison is between rates.

    • Solar against savings. If solar's estimated return is higher than your savings rate, the panels are likely to do more for you than the bank. Savings are certain and instantly available. Solar is neither.
    • Solar against a loan. Borrowing helps only when the system returns more than the loan costs. At a low APR the bill savings can cover the repayments. At a high APR you pay the lender more than the sun gives you.
    • Solar against your debts. Paying off a credit card at 23% APR is a certain 23% saving. Very little beats that. Clear expensive debt first.

    Rates used as starting points

    Electricity unit rate (price cap average, 1 October to 31 December 2026)26.32p per kWh
    Standing charge54.83p a day
    Export rate12p per kWh
    Savings rate4.5% AER
    Investment return assumed (before inflation)8% a year
    General inflation assumed3% a year
    Bank of England base rate4%
    4 kWp solar, installed, no battery£7,350
    4 kWp solar with a battery, installed£11,500

    Rates checked 10 November 2026. Sources: Ofgem, Bank of England, MCS installation data and published supplier tariffs.

    VAT

    Solar panels and batteries installed in homes are charged at 0% VAT until 31 March 2027. The relief applies to installed systems. A battery bought on its own for DIY fitting is charged at the standard rate.

    Not financial advice.

    Use these results to ask better questions, not to make the decision for you.